Franco Roncadelli vs Oleksandr Ovcharenko Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Over the last six months, Ovcharenko has secured 42.31% of points on their second serve, while Roncadelli is marginally higher at 42.33%. How significant is this difference? Both players are nearly on par.
• In return game stats, Ovcharenko outperforms Roncadelli by winning 48.7% of their opponent's second serve points compared to Roncadelli's 47.2%. Who shines on first serve returns? Roncadelli leads with 34.88% versus Ovcharenko's 29.53%.
• Under pressure, Roncadelli excels by saving 51.18% of breakpoints, whereas Ovcharenko saves 48.86%.
• Looking at match outcomes over the past year, Ovcharenko has a better winning percentage at 64.56% compared to Roncadelli's 58.33%.
• On clay, both players excel, but Ovcharenko's win rate is higher at 68% versus Roncadelli's 58%. On their worst surfaces, both struggle equally with a winning percentage of 33%.
• Ovcharenko excels in Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments $10K events with a 71.93% win rate, while Roncadelli plays at a higher level in Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, but with a lower win rate of 45.16%.
• Roncadelli has faced higher-quality opponents with an average ranking of 377.38, compared to Ovcharenko's opponents at an average rank of 399.92.
• In matches extending to deciding sets, Roncadelli holds an advantage, winning 61% of such sets, compared to Ovcharenko's 43%.
• In terms of breakpoint conversion, Roncadelli again edges Ovcharenko, converting breakpoints at a rate of 39.91% versus 36.02%.

Editorial Prediction (August 2, 2025, UTC):

As we analyze the upcoming match between Ovcharenko and Roncadelli, several factors come into play. With nearly identical performance on second serves, the crucial aspect tilts towards their return game. Ovcharenko edges slightly in winning points on the opponent's second serve, but Roncadelli excels in first serve returns.

Although Ovcharenko has demonstrated superior overall match performance in the past year, Roncadelli has faced more formidable opponents, which may provide an advantage in handling pressure situations. Speaking of pressure, Roncadelli outperforms in breakpoint saves and conversions, illustrating a clutch factor that could be decisive in key moments.

Surface consideration places both players at their best on clay, yet Ovcharenko’s record is notably stronger. However, when matches extend into a deciding set, Roncadelli’s superior win rate may prove crucial.

Taking these key stats into account, Roncadelli appears to have a slight edge in this head-to-head matchup, making them the likely favorite to win the upcoming match.